Jul 102012
 

According to a recent survey, Hungarians believe they are a minority or threatened majority in their own country. They believe that Hungarians represent only 46-58% of the country’s population, with the rest being mostly Roma (14-21%), Jew (10-12%) or other foreign nationalities (10-11%).

In reality, according to the 2001 census (the latest available), the population of Hungary is 93.2% Hungarian. Roma represent 1.9%, the number of Jews is not known (Jew is not a recognized ethnicity in Europe) but the number of practitioners of Judaism is around 0.1%; and people of foreign nationality (e.g., Arab, Chinese) represent only 0.16%

It is not difficult to guess that quite likely, this cognitive dissonance is closely related to the alarming rise of right-wing nationalism in my country of birth.

 Posted by at 3:33 pm
Jul 102012
 

I once had a profound thought, years ago.

I realized that many people think that knowing the name of something is the same as understanding that thing. “What’s that?” they ask, and when you reply, “Oh, that’s just the blinking wanker from a thermonuclear quantum generator,” they nod deeply and thank you with the words, “I understand”. (Presumably these are the same people who, when they ask “How does this computer work?”, do not actually mean that they are looking for an explanation of Neumann machines, digital electronics, modern microprocessor technology, memory management principles, hardware virtualization techniques and whatnot; they were really just looking for the ON switch. Such people form an alarming majority… but it took me many frustrating years to learn this.)

I am not sure how to feel now, having just come across a short interview piece with the late physicist Richard Feynman, who is talking about the same topic. The piece is even titled “Knowing the name of something“. I am certainly reassurred that a mind such as Feynman’s had the same thought that I did. I am also disappointed that my profound thought is not so original after all. But I feel I should really be encouraged: perhaps this is just a sign that the same thought might be occurring to many other people, and that might make the world a better place. Who knows… in a big Universe, anything can happen!

 

 Posted by at 9:05 am
Jul 092012
 

I didn’t realize that the first ever photograph of the Earth taken from space predates Sputnik by more than a decade.

This amazing picture is one of several frames shot by a camera on board a captured V-2 rocket, launched from the White Sands Missile Range on October 24, 1946. Almost 66 years ago.

Amazing.

 Posted by at 11:04 pm
Jul 052012
 

News flash this morning: the first (of hopefully many) Japanese nuclear reactor is back online.

On March 11, 2011, the fifth biggest earthquake in recorded history, and the worst recorded earthquake ever in Japan, hit the island nation. As a result, some 16,000 people died (the numbers may go higher as some are still listed as missing). Most were killed by the natural disaster directly, as they drowned in the resulting tsunami. Some were killed as technology failed: buildings collapsed, vehicles crashed, industrial installations exploded, caught fire, or leaked toxins.

None were killed by the world’s second worst nuclear accident to date, the loss of power and resulting meltdown at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant. Some of it was due, no doubt, to sheer luck. Some if it due to the inherent safety of these plants and the foresight of their designers (though foresight did not always prevail, as evidenced by the decision to place last-resort emergency backup generators in a basement in a tsunami-prone area). The bottom line, though, remains: no-one died.

Yet the entire nuclear power generation industry in Japan was shut down as a result. Consequently, Japan’s conventional emissions rose dramatically; power shortages prevailed; and Japan ended up with a trade deficit, fueled by their import of fossil fuels.

Finally, it seems that sanity (or is it necessity?) is about to prevail. The Ohi nuclear power plant is supplying electricity again. I can only hope that it is running with lessons learned about a nuclear disaster that, according to the Japanese commission investigating it, was “profoundly manmade”; one “that could have been foreseen and prevented”, were it not for causes that were deeply rooted in Japanese culture.

 Posted by at 8:35 am
Jul 042012
 

Sometimes one comes across Internet gems just as they are about to disappear.

Just south of Budapest, near the expressway that leads to Lake Balaton, there is a small village by the name of Tordas.

Tordas has had a small community radio station for the past 12 years. For the first decade, it was a pirate station, broadcasting without a license, but as of 2010, they are officially licensed to operate their 1 W (!) transmitter.

Alas, not for much longer. They are about to go silent this weekend, buried by bureaucratic requirements imposed by Hungary’s new media authority.

I read about this today and tuned into Radio Tordas over the Internet. I was in for a treat.

For instance, I heard a version of The Beatles’ Yellow Submarine, sung in Latin (!) by the late British MP Derek Enright.

I heard a cover of These Boots Are Made for Walkin’, sung by songwriter Lee Hazlewood, with alternate lyrics that end with the words, “this is the part of the record where the engineer Eddy Brackett said if we don’t fade this thing out, we’re all gonna be arrested”.

I heard an wonderful song, Guns of Brixton, by the French band Nouvelle Vague.

I heard a rather unusual and humorous cover (mostly vocals and acoustic instruments) of Jean Michel Jarre’s electronic composition Oxygen, by the Hungarian band Zuboly.

I heard an amazing cover of The Rolling Stones’ Play With Fire. I have no idea who was singing, which is a pity, because he almost sounded like Tom Waits. (No, I don’t think it was Tom Waits.)

I heard many other things, including two rather unusual children’s tales from the immortal Ervin Lazar, known in Hungary for, well, his rather unusual children’s tales.

And this radio station is about to go off the air for good. Perhaps they’ll survive on the Internet. If so, they’re on my list of stations worth listening to.

 Posted by at 4:49 pm
Jul 042012
 

I got up early this morning, so I had a chance to study the results from LHC, namely the preliminary publications from the ATLAS and CMS detectors.

According to the ATLAS team, the likelihood that the event count they see around 126 GeV is due purely to chance is less than one in a million. The result is better than 5σ, which makes it almost certain that they observed something.

The CMS detector observed many possible types of Higgs decay events. When they combined them all, they found that the probability that all this is due purely to chance is again less than one in a million… in their case, an almost 5σ result. Once again, it indicates very strongly that something has been observed.

But is it the Higgs? I have to say it’s beginning to look like it’s both quacking and walking like a duck… but CERN is cautious, and rightfully so. Their statement is that “CERN experiments observe particle consistent with long-sought Higgs boson”, and I think it is a very correct one.

 Posted by at 7:30 am
Jul 032012
 

It appears that CERN goofed and as a result, the video of the announcement planned for tomorrow has been leaked. (That is, unless you choose to believe their cockamamie story about multiple versions of the video having been produced.)

The bottom line: there is definitely a particle there with integer spin. Its mass is about 125 GeV. We know it decays into two photons and two Z-bosons. That’s about all we know.

The assessment is that it is either the Higgs or something altogether new.

 Posted by at 6:17 pm
Jul 022012
 

The Tevatron may have been shut down last year but the data they collected is still being analyzed.

And it’s perhaps no accident that they managed to squeeze out an announcement today, just two days before the scheduled announcement from the LHC: their observations are “consistent with the possible presence of a low-mass Higgs boson.”

The Tevatron has analyzed ten “inverse femtobarns” worth of data. This unit of measure (unit of luminosity, integrated luminosity to be precise) basically tells us how many events the Tevatron experiment produced. One “barn” is a whimsical name for a tiny unit of area, 10−24 square centimeters. A femtobarn is 10−15 barn. And when a particle physicist speaks of “inverse femtobarns”, what he really means is “events per femtobarn”. Ten inverse femtobarns of “integrated luminosity”, then, means a particle beam that, over time, produced ten events per every 10−39 square centimeters.

Now this makes sense intuitively if you think of a yet to be discovered particle or process as something that has a size. Suppose the cross-sectional size of what you are trying to discover is 10−36 square centimeters, or 1000 femtobarns. Now your accelerator just peppered each femtobarn with 10 events… that’s 10,000 events that fall onto your intended target, which means 10,000 opportunities to discover it. On the other hand, if your yet to be discovered object is 10−42 square centimeters in size, which is just one one thousandths of a femtobarn… ten events per femtobarn is really not enough, chances are your particle beam never hit the target and there is nothing to see.

The Tevatron operated for a long time, which allowed them to reach this very high level of integrated luminosity. But the cross-section, or apparent “size” of Higgs-related events also depends on the energy of the particles being accelerated. The Tevatron was only able to accelerate particles to 2 TeV. In contrast, the LHC is currently running at 8 TeV, and at such a high energy, some events are simply more likely to occur, which means that they are effectively “bigger” in cross section, more likely to be “illuminated” by the particle beam.

The Tevatron is not collecting any new data, but it seems they don’t want to be left out of the party. Hence, I guess, this annoucement, dated July 2, indicating a strong hint that the Higgs particle exists with a mass around 125 GeV/c2.

On the other hand, CERN already made it clear that their announcement will not be a definitive yes/no statement on the Higgs. Or so they say. Yet it has been said that Peter Higgs, after whom the Higgs boson is named, has been invited to be present when the announcement will be made. This is more than enough for the rumors to go rampant.

I really don’t know what to think. There are strong reasons to believe that the Higgs particle is real. There are equally strong reasons to doubt its existence. The observed events are important, but an unambiguous confirmation requires further analysis to exclude possibilities such as statistical flukes, events due to something else like a hadronic resonance, and who knows what else. And once again, I am also reminded of another historical announcement by CERN exactly 28 years prior to this upcoming one, on July 4, 1984, when they announced the discovery of the top quark at 40 GeV. Except that there is no top quark at 40 GeV… their announcement was wrong. Yet the top quark is real, later to be discovered having a mass of about 173 GeV.

Higgs or no Higgs? I suspect the jury will still be out on July 5.

 Posted by at 5:48 pm
Jul 012012
 

Happy 145th birthday, Canada!

I am not much of a fan of patriotic displays and whatnot, but this country certainly has reasons to celebrate. I hope we can keep it this way for many years to come.

 Posted by at 1:30 pm
Jun 302012
 

My country of birth, Hungary, is rapidly deteriorating into the kind of surreal place more familiar to fans of Terry Gilliam films.

Take the following letter that was sent, among other places, to all hospitals (hospitals!) in Hungary. This is my translation; I tried to be as literal as possible but of course bureaucratese is not an easy language to master.

Ministry of Human Resources
Budget Department

File Number: 29482-I/2012-KTF

Administrator: Ildikó Bátri
Attachments: Forms, 2 pcs.

To the chief financial officers of all budgetary institutions under the management or maintenance and management of EMMI

On location

Subject: Call for reports for the National Equestrian Sector Registry as specified under Government Decree 1061/2012. (III.12.)

In accordance with the text of paragraph 9 of Government Decree 1061/2012. (III.12.) about the duties and the regulations needed to carry out priority duties in the National Equestrian Program, to facilitate unified asset management goals, the affected ministers must provide recommendations for the creation of a national equestrian sector registry.

Even in these days, significant assets are present in the equestrian sector. Assignment to accepted strategy is an essential condition for responsible asset management in this sector. A first step in this direction is to create a sectoral state asset inventory.

This requires a full survey and census, based on unified criteria, of all state asset elements related to the equestrian sector (real estate, land, related fixed assets, movable assets, horses, immaterial goods, etc.), a determination of asset values, and on the basis of this, the creation of an asset register (inventory) that forms the basis of asset management.

On the basis of the above I request that, by completing the attached forms, exclusively via electronic transmission – also indicating negative answers – no later than

Monday, July 9, 2012, 4 PM,

please return your responses to the e-mail address ildiko.batri@****.gov.hu.

I bring to the attention of intermediate managing agencies with respect to institutions under their management that they should arrange for the collection of the data and its timely submission.

Budapest, June 26, 2012.

With regards,

Tamás Móré
Head of Department

 
Signed and sealed, of course, with a very official-looking stamp.

The mind boggles.

 Posted by at 9:45 pm
Jun 302012
 

Last year, many people debated whether or not the Iranians had the wherewithal to hijack that US military drone which they were so proudly displaying afterwards.

Well, wonder no more. Apparently a team from the University of Texas at Austin showed how it can be done using equipment that cost no more than a thousand bucks.

OK, you say, but this drone was using the non-encrypted civilian GPS signal. True… except that if you simply jam the encrypted signal, many military drones fall back (or at least, used to fall back) to using the civilian signal. (As designed, the encryption was primarily about preventing an adversary from using the high accuracy military GPS signal, not about preventing spoofing.)

 Posted by at 1:49 pm
Jun 282012
 

My blog is supposed to be (mostly) about physics. So let me write something about physics for a change.

John Moffat, with whom I have been collaborating (mostly on his modified gravity theory, MOG) for the past six years or so, has many ideas. Recently, he was wondering: could the celebrated 125 GeV (125 gigaelectronvolts divided the speed of light squared, to be precise, which is about about 134 times the mass of a hydrogen atom) peak observed last year at the LHC (and if rumors are to be believed, perhaps to be confirmed next week) be a sign of something other than the Higgs particle?

All popular accounts emphasize the role of the Higgs particle in making particles massive. This is a bit misleading. For one thing, the Higgs mechanism is directly responsible for the masses of only some particles (the vector bosons); for another, even this part of the mechanism requires that, in addition to the Higgs particle, we also presume the existence of a potential field (the famous “Mexican hat” potential) that is responsible for spontaneous symmetry breaking.

Higgs mechanism aside though, the Standard Model of particle physics needs the Higgs particle. Without the Higgs, the Standard Model is not renormalizable; its predictions diverge into meaningless infinities.

The Higgs particle solves this problem by “eating up” the last misbehaving bits of the Standard Model that cannot be eliminated by other means. The theory is then complete: although it remains unreconciled with gravity, it successfully unites the other three forces and all known particles into a unified (albeit somewhat messy) whole. The theory’s predictions are fully in accordance with data that include laboratory experiments as well as astrophysical observations.

Well, almost. There is still this pesky business with neutrinos. Neutrinos in the Standard Model are massless. Since the 1980s, however, we had strong reasons to suspect that neutrinos have mass. The reason is the “solar neutrino problem”, a discrepancy between the predicted and observed number of neutrinos originating from the inner core of the Sun. This problem is resolved if different types of neutrinos can turn into one another, since the detectors in question could only “see” electron neutrinos. This “neutrino flavor mixing” or “neutrino oscillation” can occur if neutrinos have mass, represented by a mass matrix that is not completely diagonal.

What’s wrong with introducing such a matrix, one might ask? Two things. First, this matrix necessarily contains dimensionless quantities that are very small. While there is no a priori reason to reject them, dimensionless numbers in a theory that are orders of magnitude bigger or smaller than 1 are always suspect. But the second problem is perhaps the bigger one: massive neutrinos make the Standard Model non-renormalizable again. This can only be resolved by either exotic mechanisms or the introduction of new elementary particles.

This challenge to the Standard Model perhaps makes the finding of the Higgs particle less imperative. Far from turning a nearly flawless theory into a perfect one, it only addresses some problems in an otherwise still flawed, incomplete theory. Conversely, not finding the Higgs particle is less devastating: it does invalidate a theory that would have been perfect otherwise, it simply prompts us to look for solutions elsewhere.

In light of that, one may wish to take a second look at the observations reported at the LHC last fall. The Higgs particle, if it exists, can decay in several ways. We already know that the Higgs particle cannot be heavier than 130 GeV, and this excludes certain forms of decay. One of the decays that remains is the decay into a quark and its antiparticle that, in turn, decay into two photons. Photons are easy to observe, but there is a catch: when the LHC collides large numbers of protons with one another at high energies, a huge number of photons are created as a background. It is against this background that two-photon events with a signature specific to the Higgs particle must be observed.

Diphoton results from the Atlas detector at the LHC, late 2011.

And observed they have been, albeit not with a resounding statistical significance. There is a small excess of such two-photon events indicating a possible Higgs mass of 125 GeV. Many believe that this is because there is indeed a Higgs particle with this mass, and its discovery will be confirmed with the necessary statistical certainty once more data are collected.

Others remain skeptical. For one thing, that 125 GeV peak is not the only peak in the data. For another, it is a peak that is a tad more pronounced than what the Higgs particle would produce. Furthermore, there is no corresponding peak in other “channels” that would correspond to other forms of decay of the Higgs particle.

This is when Moffat’s idea comes in. John had in mind the many “hadronic resonances”, all sorts of combinations of quarks that appear at lower energies, some of which still befuddle particle physicists. What if, he asks, this 125 GeV peak is due to just another such resonance?

Easier said than done. At low energies, there are plenty of quarks to choose from and combine. But 125 GeV is not a very convenient energy from this perspective. The heaviest quark, the top quark has a mass of 173 GeV or so; far too heavy for this purpose. The next quark in terms of mass, the bottom quark, is much too light at around 4.5 Gev. There is no obvious way to combine a reasonably small number of quarks into a 125 GeV composite particle that sticks around long enough for it to be detected. Indeed, the top quark is so heavy that “toponium”, a hypothetical combination of a top quark and its antiparticle, is believed to be undetectable; it decays so rapidly, it really never has time to form in the first place.

But then, there is another possibility. Remember how neutrinos oscillate between different states? Well, composite particles can do that, too. And as to what these “eigenstates” are, that really depends on the measurement. One notorious example is the neutral kaon (also known as the neutral K meson). It has one eigenstate with respect to the strong interaction, but two quite different eigenstates with respect to the weak interaction.

So here is John’s perhaps not so outlandish proposal: what if there is a form of quarkonium whose eigenstates are toponium (not observed) and bottomonium with respect to some interactions, but two different mixed states with respect to whatever interaction is responsible for the 125 GeV resonance observed by the LHC?

Such an eigenstate requires a mixing angle, easily calculated as 20 degrees. This mixing also results in another eigenstate, at 330 GeV, which is likely so heavy that it is not stable enough to be observed. This proposal, if valid, would explain why the LHC sees a resonance at 125 GeV without a Higgs particle.

Indeed, this proposal can also explain a) why the peak is stronger than what one would predict for the Higgs particle, b) why no other Higgs-specific decay modes were observed, and perhaps most intriguingly, c) why there are additional peaks in the data!

That is because if there is a “ground state”, there are also excited states, the same way a hydrogen atom (to use a more commonplace example) has a ground state and excited states with its lone electron in higher energy orbits. These excited states would show up in the plots as additional resonances, usually closely bunched together, with decreasing magnitude.

Could John be right? I certainly like his proposal, though I am not exactly the unbiased observer, since I did contribute a little to its development through numerous discussions. In any case, we will know a little more next week. An announcement from the LHC is expected on July 4. It is going to be interesting.

 Posted by at 4:36 pm
Jun 282012
 

Alas, Minitel is no more. After 30 years of operation, France Telecom will shut down the venerable service this Saturday. While the proprietary, closed architecture of Minitel never caught on outside of France, this “made in France” solution reached nearly half the inhabitants of France in its heyday. Today, Minitel is largely irrelevant thanks to the Internet (this is what doomed other closed architecture commercial online services, such as CompuServe.) Still, if The New York Times is to be believed, at least some farmers are going to miss this reliable service.

 Posted by at 2:48 pm
Jun 282012
 

The first American president who made a serious effort to introduce universal health care was Teddy Roosevelt, almost exactly 100 years ago. Teddy Roosevelt is of course also famous for the eponymous bear.

And now we have ObamaCare, upheld by the United States Supreme Court in a surprise decision, with conservative justice Roberts being the “swing vote”.

You put bear and care together and what you you have? A care bear, of course. Maybe supporters of ObamaCare will celebrate by sending plush care bear toys to the White House…

 Posted by at 1:02 pm
Jun 282012
 

I was watching CNN this morning. At around 10:08 AM, they announced that the United States Supreme Court struck down the key “individual mandate” provision of Obama’s health care reform law.

A few minutes later, it dawned on them that the justices’ comments relating to the Commerce Clause were not the end of the story. They still weren’t sure of themselves but they corrected the headline.

Finally, after an additional several minutes, it became clear: the law has been upheld.

I am sure I will hear more about this “save” on CNN’s Reliable Sources this Sunday…

 Posted by at 12:57 pm
Jun 202012
 

I am reading a note written by a certain Alan C. Kay at the Xerox Palo Alto Research Center.

Kay describes a “personal computer for children of all ages”. This interesting and very detailed description includes, for instance, words like: “Once one has gotten used to the idea of no moving parts, he is ready for the idea of no keyboard at all! Suppose the display panel covers the full extent of the notebook surface. Any keyboard arrangement one might wish can then be displayed anywhere on the surface. […] This arrangement allows the font in which one is typing to be shown on the keys, special characters can be windowed, and user identifiers can be selected with one touch.”

The reason why I consider these words so remarkable is the publication date. Kay’s note was published in the Proceedings of the ACM National Conference, Boston… in August 1972.

 Posted by at 7:09 pm
Jun 202012
 

Parliament passed Bill C-11 Monday evening. That means that we are one Senate approval away from having a law in Canada that criminalizes acts such as watching a foreign DVD (even one with expired copyright!) using region-free software.

I am really ticked off about this. So much so that I am contemplating doing just that: breaking the law every day by watching a Hungarian DVD or ripping a DVD to my hard drive, and announce publicly what I have done.

But then… life is too short. There are more important things to be outraged about. And realistically, this government knows fully well that the letter of this law is unenforceable; that in reality, nothing has changed insofar as our daily lives are concerned, except that there is now one more law on the books under which all of us can be treated as criminals at the pleasure of the Powers That Be. Just what Ayn Rand warned us about.

Still, if someone were to start such a civil disobedience campaign, I would be sorely tempted to join it…

 Posted by at 3:01 pm
Jun 182012
 

Elie Wiesel is a well known Holocaust survivor and Nobel laureate.

Wiesel was also a recipient of the Grand Cross Order of Merit of the Republic of Hungary.

Not anymore. He decided to repudiate the order. This is his means to protest the participation of László Kövér, Speaker of the Hungarian National Assembly, in a ceremony in Romania honoring the author József Nyirő, a member of Hungary’s national socialist Arrow Cross parliament in 1944-45.

Elie Wiesel had enough and I can’t blame him.

 Posted by at 1:52 pm
Jun 182012
 

Here is a wonderful solution to the problem of climate change: if you don’t like the science, outlaw it. At least this is what the state legislature of North Carolina is doing, in an attempt to address the escalating costs of protecting the state from rising sea levels.

I may have concerns about the quality of climate models and the validity of some of the more hysterical predictions, but politicians should be obligated to follow the best scientific advice available. Picking the science based on ideological preferences belongs to the Dark Ages, not the 21st century.

 Posted by at 11:17 am