{"id":11352,"date":"2022-08-29T16:26:54","date_gmt":"2022-08-29T20:26:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/?p=11352"},"modified":"2022-08-30T14:36:51","modified_gmt":"2022-08-30T18:36:51","slug":"lessons-from-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/?p=11352","title":{"rendered":"Lessons from Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"

The reputable think tank, the Atlantic Council<\/a>, published a list of 23 lessons<\/a> from the Ukraine war.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

The details are well worth reading, but I thought I’d post here a brief summary of the lessons themselves.<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Lesson for Western diplomacy: Don\u2019t second-guess Ukrainians<\/li>\n
  2. Lesson for global diplomacy: Putin\u2019s regime can\u2019t be trusted\u2014and needs to be defeated<\/li>\n
  3. Lesson for US foreign policy: The United States can no longer rely on strategic ambiguity<\/li>\n
  4. Lesson for US national security: Washington must contend with Beijing, Moscow, and Tehran at the same time<\/li>\n
  5. Lesson for military operations: Equipment doesn\u2019t win wars. People do.<\/li>\n
  6. Lesson for military planning: Nimble modern weapons can defeat larger, conventionally armed forces\u2014especially when on the defensive<\/li>\n
  7. Lesson for deterrence: Troop deployments work better than threats of economic sanctions<\/li>\n
  8. Lesson for the global economy: The new tools of conflict are economic\u2014and they are powerful<\/li>\n
  9. Lesson for economic statecraft: Don\u2019t separate sanctions from longer-term foreign-policy objectives<\/li>\n
  10. Lesson for economic statecraft: Sanctions work, but they are messy and take time<\/li>\n
  11. Lesson for wartime strategic communications: Influence operations are a day-in, day-out job<\/li>\n
  12. Lesson for hybrid warfare: Don\u2019t ignore the fundamentals<\/li>\n
  13. Lesson for the energy sector: Decades of energy diplomacy can disappear with one brutal invasion<\/li>\n
  14. Lesson for global intelligence: Russia is not ten feet tall<\/li>\n
  15. Lesson for would-be invaders: You can\u2019t hide preparations for a full-scale invasion<\/li>\n
  16. Lesson for cybersecurity: The private sector should play a critical military-operational role in cyberspace<\/li>\n
  17. Lesson for US homeland security: Ignoring the home front is a serious mistake<\/li>\n
  18. Lesson for US assistance policy: Invest deeply in key resilient partners<\/li>\n
  19. Lesson for NATO: The Alliance is a uniquely valuable institution that requires enduring political and financial investment<\/li>\n
  20. Lesson for Ukraine: There\u2019s no way back for relations with Russia<\/li>\n
  21. Lesson for China: Today\u2019s Ukraine is not tomorrow\u2019s Taiwan<\/li>\n
  22. Lesson for Middle East policymakers: America will always do the right thing, but only after exhausting all the alternatives<\/li>\n
  23. Lesson for Germany and its allies: Seize this moment for a strategic reversal<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    I fear that there are many more lessons yet to come, some with potentially devastating consequences outside of the conflict zone.<\/p>\n<\/fb:like>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    The reputable think tank, the Atlantic Council, published a list of 23 lessons from the Ukraine war. The details are well worth reading, but I thought I’d post here a brief summary of the lessons themselves. Lesson for Western diplomacy: Don\u2019t second-guess Ukrainians Lesson for global diplomacy: Putin\u2019s regime can\u2019t be trusted\u2014and needs to be […]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11352","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","category-5-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11352","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11352"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11352\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11359,"href":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11352\/revisions\/11359"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11352"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11352"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spinor.info\/weblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11352"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}